# MLB projections and model edges

4 MLB games on Wednesday, September 30, 2026.

## Today

- [Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/games/2026-09-30-phi-at-atl) — 2:00 PM ET
- [Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/games/2026-09-30-chw-at-hou) — 5:00 PM ET
- [Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/games/2026-09-30-bos-at-nyy) — 8:00 PM ET
- [Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/games/2026-09-30-chc-at-sd) — 10:00 PM ET

## Top model edges

| Player | Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran | under 0.5 Runs | −325 | 81.8% | 76.5% | +5.3% |
| Adley Rutschman | under 0.5 Batter BB | −220 | 73.5% | 68.8% | +4.8% |
| Willson Contreras | under 0.5 Batter BB | −200 | 71.1% | 66.7% | +4.5% |
| Edmundo Sosa | under 0.5 Batter BB | −550 | 88.7% | 84.6% | +4.1% |
| Alec Bohm | under 0.5 Batter BB | −275 | 76.2% | 73.3% | +2.9% |

## Teams

- [Arizona Diamondbacks](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/ari)
- [Athletics](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/ath)
- [Atlanta Braves](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/atl)
- [Baltimore Orioles](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/bal)
- [Boston Red Sox](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/bos)
- [Chicago Cubs](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/chc)
- [Chicago White Sox](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/chw)
- [Cincinnati Reds](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/cin)
- [Cleveland Guardians](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/cle)
- [Colorado Rockies](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/col)
- [Detroit Tigers](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/det)
- [Houston Astros](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/hou)
- [Kansas City Royals](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/kc)
- [Los Angeles Angels](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/laa)
- [Los Angeles Dodgers](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/lad)
- [Miami Marlins](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/mia)
- [Milwaukee Brewers](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/mil)
- [Minnesota Twins](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/min)
- [New York Mets](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/nym)
- [New York Yankees](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/nyy)
- [Philadelphia Phillies](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/phi)
- [Pittsburgh Pirates](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/pit)
- [San Diego Padres](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/sd)
- [San Francisco Giants](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/sf)
- [Seattle Mariners](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/sea)
- [St. Louis Cardinals](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/stl)
- [Tampa Bay Rays](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/tb)
- [Texas Rangers](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/tex)
- [Toronto Blue Jays](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/tor)
- [Washington Nationals](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/wsh)

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Source: EdgeGoat model projections (https://edgegoat.com) — CC BY 4.0 · data as of 2026-09-30
Canonical: https://edgegoat.com/mlb
License: CC BY 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Methodology: https://edgegoat.com/methodology
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.