# Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees — MLB, Wednesday, September 30, 2026

MLB game on Wednesday, September 30, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at Yankee Stadium, Bronx. Status: scheduled.

## Model

| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Projected total | 7.2 |
| Projected home margin | 0.4 |
| Model edges priced | 6 |

## Game lines

| Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYY -1.5 | +170 | 35.7% | 37.0% | −1.4% |
| BOS +1.5 | −210 | 64.3% | 67.7% | −3.4% |
| Over 6.5 | −120 | 51.9% | 54.5% | −2.6% |
| Under 6.5 | +100 | 48.1% | 50.0% | −1.9% |
| NYY ML | −135 | 55.4% | 57.4% | −2.1% |
| BOS ML | +110 | 44.6% | 47.6% | −3.0% |

## Top prop edges

| Player | Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarren Duran | under 0.5 Runs | −325 | 81.8% | 76.5% | +5.3% |
| Adley Rutschman | under 0.5 Batter BB | −220 | 73.5% | 68.8% | +4.8% |
| Willson Contreras | under 0.5 Batter BB | −200 | 71.1% | 66.7% | +4.5% |

Full board: https://app.edgegoat.com

## FAQ

**When does Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees start?**

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (MLB) starts at 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at Yankee Stadium, Bronx.

**What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees?**

The model projects about 7.2 combined runs.

**Who does the model favor in Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees?**

The model favors New York Yankees by about 0.4 runs.

**How many model edges are there for Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees?**

The model currently finds 6 lines priced below its own probability. The largest: Jarren Duran under 0.5 runs (−325): model 81.8% vs book 76.5%, an edge of +5.3%. Edges are statements about prices, not guarantees about results.

## Related

- [New York Yankees](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/nyy)
- [Boston Red Sox](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/teams/bos)
- [MLB slate for Wednesday, September 30, 2026](https://edgegoat.com/mlb/2026-09-30)

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Source: EdgeGoat model projections (https://edgegoat.com) — CC BY 4.0 · data as of 2026-09-30
Canonical: https://edgegoat.com/mlb/games/2026-09-30-bos-at-nyy
License: CC BY 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Methodology: https://edgegoat.com/methodology
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.