# Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies — NBA, Friday, November 6, 2026

NBA game on Friday, November 6, 2026, 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum, Memphis. Status: scheduled.

## Model

| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Projected total | 225.9 |
| Projected home margin | 0.4 |
| Model edges priced | 21 |

## Game lines

| Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM +4.5 | −115 | 64.8% | 53.5% | +11.3 pts |
| OKC -4.5 | −105 | 35.2% | 51.2% | −16.0 pts |
| Over 223.5 | −115 | 56.7% | 53.5% | +3.2 pts |
| Under 223.5 | −105 | 43.3% | 51.2% | −7.9 pts |
| MEM ML | +150 | 51.1% | 40.0% | +11.1 pts |
| OKC ML | −185 | 48.9% | 64.9% | −16.0 pts |

## Top prop edges

| Player | Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Caruso | under 2.5 AST | −105 | 70.0% | 51.2% | +18.7 pts |
| Cedric Coward | under 7.5 REB | −120 | 71.6% | 54.5% | +17.1 pts |
| Ajay Mitchell | under 20.5 PTS | −125 | 71.4% | 55.6% | +15.9 pts |

Full board: https://app.edgegoat.com

## FAQ

**When does Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies start?**

Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies (NBA) starts at 8:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026 at FedExForum, Memphis.

**What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies?**

The model projects about 225.9 combined points.

**Who does the model favor in Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies?**

The model favors Memphis Grizzlies by about 0.4 points.

**How many model edges are there for Oklahoma City Thunder at Memphis Grizzlies?**

The model currently finds 21 lines priced below its own probability. The largest: Alex Caruso under 2.5 ast (−105): model 70.0% vs book 51.2%, an edge of +18.7 pts. Edges are statements about prices, not guarantees about results.

## Related

- [Memphis Grizzlies](https://edgegoat.com/nba/teams/mem)
- [Oklahoma City Thunder](https://edgegoat.com/nba/teams/okc)
- [NBA slate for Friday, November 6, 2026](https://edgegoat.com/nba/2026-11-06)

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Source: EdgeGoat model projections (https://edgegoat.com) — CC BY 4.0 · data as of 2026-11-06
Canonical: https://edgegoat.com/nba/games/2026-11-06-okc-at-mem
License: CC BY 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Methodology: https://edgegoat.com/methodology
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.