# Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans — NFL, Sunday, October 4, 2026

NFL game on Sunday, October 4, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Reliant Stadium, Houston. Status: scheduled.

## Model

| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Projected total | 47.5 |
| Projected home margin | 2.5 |
| Model edges priced | 9 |

## Game lines

| Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU -2.5 | −115 | 52.6% | 53.5% | −0.9% |
| DAL +2.5 | −105 | 47.4% | 51.2% | −3.8% |
| Over 47.5 | −115 | 50.0% | 53.5% | −3.5% |
| Under 47.5 | −105 | 50.0% | 51.2% | −1.2% |
| HOU ML | −140 | 58.4% | 58.3% | +0.1% |
| DAL ML | +120 | 41.6% | 45.5% | −3.9% |

## Top prop edges

| Player | Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott | under 24.5 Comp | −115 | 68.6% | 53.5% | +15.1% |
| Dak Prescott | under 273.5 Pass Yds | −115 | 61.8% | 53.5% | +8.3% |
| Dak Prescott | over 13.5 Rush Yds | +130 | 51.7% | 43.5% | +8.2% |

Full board: https://app.edgegoat.com

## FAQ

**When does Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans start?**

Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans (NFL) starts at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 4, 2026 at Reliant Stadium, Houston.

**What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans?**

The model projects about 47.5 combined points.

**Who does the model favor in Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans?**

The model favors Houston Texans by about 2.5 points.

**How many model edges are there for Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans?**

The model currently finds 9 lines priced below its own probability. The largest: Dak Prescott under 24.5 comp (−115): model 68.6% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +15.1%. Edges are statements about prices, not guarantees about results.

## Related

- [Houston Texans](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/teams/hou)
- [Dallas Cowboys](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/teams/dal)
- [NFL slate for Sunday, October 4, 2026](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/2026-10-04)

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Source: EdgeGoat model projections (https://edgegoat.com) — CC BY 4.0 · data as of 2026-09-30
Canonical: https://edgegoat.com/nfl/games/2026-10-04-dal-at-hou
License: CC BY 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Methodology: https://edgegoat.com/methodology
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.