# Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders — NFL, Sunday, October 4, 2026

NFL game on Sunday, October 4, 2026, 9:30 AM ET at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London. Status: scheduled.

## Model

| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Projected total | 47 |
| Projected home margin | -3.5 |
| Model edges priced | 8 |

## Game lines

| Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH +3.5 | −110 | 52.3% | 52.4% | −0.1% |
| IND -3.5 | −110 | 47.7% | 52.4% | −4.7% |
| Over 47 | −110 | 50.0% | 52.4% | −2.4% |
| Under 47 | −110 | 50.0% | 52.4% | −2.4% |
| WSH ML | +165 | 38.3% | 37.7% | +0.5% |
| IND ML | −195 | 61.7% | 66.1% | −4.4% |

## Top prop edges

| Player | Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jones | under 11.5 Rush Yds | −115 | 70.5% | 53.5% | +17.0% |
| Jonathan Taylor | under 114.5 Rush+Rec Yds | −115 | 68.5% | 53.5% | +15.0% |
| Jonathan Taylor | under 90.5 Rush Yds | −115 | 63.8% | 53.5% | +10.3% |

Full board: https://app.edgegoat.com

## FAQ

**When does Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders start?**

Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders (NFL) starts at 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, October 4, 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London.

**What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders?**

The model projects about 47 combined points.

**Who does the model favor in Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders?**

The model favors Indianapolis Colts by about 3.5 points.

**How many model edges are there for Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders?**

The model currently finds 8 lines priced below its own probability. The largest: Daniel Jones under 11.5 rush yds (−115): model 70.5% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +17.0%. Edges are statements about prices, not guarantees about results.

## Related

- [Washington Commanders](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/teams/wsh)
- [Indianapolis Colts](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/teams/ind)
- [NFL slate for Sunday, October 4, 2026](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/2026-10-04)

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Source: EdgeGoat model projections (https://edgegoat.com) — CC BY 4.0 · data as of 2026-09-30
Canonical: https://edgegoat.com/nfl/games/2026-10-04-ind-at-wsh
License: CC BY 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Methodology: https://edgegoat.com/methodology
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.