# Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals — NFL, Sunday, October 4, 2026

NFL game on Sunday, October 4, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati. Status: scheduled.

## Model

| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Projected total | 51 |
| Projected home margin | 2.5 |
| Model edges priced | 4 |

## Game lines

| Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIN -2.5 | −115 | 52.6% | 53.5% | −0.9% |
| JAX +2.5 | −105 | 47.4% | 51.2% | −3.8% |
| Over 51 | −110 | 50.0% | 52.4% | −2.4% |
| Under 51 | −110 | 50.0% | 52.4% | −2.4% |
| CIN ML | −140 | 58.4% | 58.3% | +0.1% |
| JAX ML | +120 | 41.6% | 45.5% | −3.9% |

## Top prop edges

| Player | Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | under 265.5 Pass Yds | −120 | 62.4% | 54.5% | +7.8% |
| Chase Brown | under 69.5 Rush Yds | −145 | 67.0% | 59.2% | +7.8% |
| Parker Washington | under 5.5 Rec | −135 | 60.8% | 57.4% | +3.3% |

Full board: https://app.edgegoat.com

## FAQ

**When does Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals start?**

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals (NFL) starts at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 4, 2026 at Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati.

**What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals?**

The model projects about 51 combined points.

**Who does the model favor in Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals?**

The model favors Cincinnati Bengals by about 2.5 points.

**How many model edges are there for Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals?**

The model currently finds 4 lines priced below its own probability. The largest: Trevor Lawrence under 265.5 pass yds (−120): model 62.4% vs book 54.5%, an edge of +7.8%. Edges are statements about prices, not guarantees about results.

## Related

- [Cincinnati Bengals](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/teams/cin)
- [Jacksonville Jaguars](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/teams/jax)
- [NFL slate for Sunday, October 4, 2026](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/2026-10-04)

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Source: EdgeGoat model projections (https://edgegoat.com) — CC BY 4.0 · data as of 2026-09-30
Canonical: https://edgegoat.com/nfl/games/2026-10-04-jax-at-cin
License: CC BY 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Methodology: https://edgegoat.com/methodology
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.