# Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders — NFL, Sunday, October 4, 2026

NFL game on Sunday, October 4, 2026, 4:25 PM ET at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas. Status: scheduled.

## Model

| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Projected total | 48 |
| Projected home margin | -4.5 |
| Model edges priced | 2 |

## Game lines

| Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV +4.5 | −110 | 51.8% | 52.4% | −0.5% |
| KC -4.5 | −110 | 48.2% | 52.4% | −4.2% |
| Over 47.5 | −110 | 51.4% | 52.4% | −0.9% |
| Under 47.5 | −110 | 48.6% | 52.4% | −3.8% |
| LV ML | +180 | 35.1% | 35.7% | −0.7% |
| KC ML | −220 | 64.9% | 68.8% | −3.8% |

## Top prop edges

| Player | Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Walker III | under 92.5 Rush Yds | −140 | 64.4% | 58.3% | +6.1% |
| Patrick Mahomes | over 230.5 Pass Yds | −140 | 60.1% | 58.3% | +1.8% |

Full board: https://app.edgegoat.com

## FAQ

**When does Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders start?**

Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders (NFL) starts at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 4, 2026 at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas.

**What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders?**

The model projects about 48 combined points.

**Who does the model favor in Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders?**

The model favors Kansas City Chiefs by about 4.5 points.

**How many model edges are there for Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders?**

The model currently finds 2 lines priced below its own probability. The largest: Kenneth Walker III under 92.5 rush yds (−140): model 64.4% vs book 58.3%, an edge of +6.1%. Edges are statements about prices, not guarantees about results.

## Related

- [Las Vegas Raiders](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/teams/lv)
- [Kansas City Chiefs](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/teams/kc)
- [NFL slate for Sunday, October 4, 2026](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/2026-10-04)

---

Source: EdgeGoat model projections (https://edgegoat.com) — CC BY 4.0 · data as of 2026-09-30
Canonical: https://edgegoat.com/nfl/games/2026-10-04-kc-at-lv
License: CC BY 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Methodology: https://edgegoat.com/methodology
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.