# Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks — NFL, Sunday, October 4, 2026

NFL game on Sunday, October 4, 2026, 4:25 PM ET at Lumen Field, Seattle. Status: scheduled.

## Model

| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Projected total | 43 |
| Projected home margin | 7.5 |
| Model edges priced | 3 |

## Game lines

| Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA -7 | −115 | 48.2% | 53.5% | −5.3% |
| LAC +7 | −105 | 51.8% | 51.2% | +0.6% |
| Over 43 | −110 | 50.0% | 52.4% | −2.4% |
| Under 43 | −110 | 50.0% | 52.4% | −2.4% |
| SEA ML | −350 | 73.8% | 77.8% | −4.0% |
| LAC ML | +275 | 26.2% | 26.7% | −0.5% |

## Top prop edges

| Player | Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert | under 190.5 Pass Yds | +105 | 62.9% | 48.8% | +14.2% |
| Emanuel Wilson | under 45.5 Rush Yds | −140 | 66.5% | 58.3% | +8.1% |
| Sam Darnold | over 228.5 Pass Yds | −130 | 58.6% | 56.5% | +2.1% |

Full board: https://app.edgegoat.com

## FAQ

**When does Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks start?**

Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks (NFL) starts at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, October 4, 2026 at Lumen Field, Seattle.

**What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks?**

The model projects about 43 combined points.

**Who does the model favor in Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks?**

The model favors Seattle Seahawks by about 7.5 points.

**How many model edges are there for Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks?**

The model currently finds 3 lines priced below its own probability. The largest: Justin Herbert under 190.5 pass yds (+105): model 62.9% vs book 48.8%, an edge of +14.2%. Edges are statements about prices, not guarantees about results.

## Related

- [Seattle Seahawks](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/teams/sea)
- [Los Angeles Chargers](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/teams/lac)
- [NFL slate for Sunday, October 4, 2026](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/2026-10-04)

---

Source: EdgeGoat model projections (https://edgegoat.com) — CC BY 4.0 · data as of 2026-09-30
Canonical: https://edgegoat.com/nfl/games/2026-10-04-lac-at-sea
License: CC BY 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Methodology: https://edgegoat.com/methodology
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.