# Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens — NFL, Sunday, October 4, 2026

NFL game on Sunday, October 4, 2026, 1:00 PM ET at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore. Status: scheduled.

## Model

| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Projected total | 43.5 |
| Projected home margin | 11.5 |
| Model edges priced | 10 |

## Game lines

| Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL -11.5 | −110 | 48.9% | 52.4% | −3.5% |
| TEN +11.5 | −110 | 51.1% | 52.4% | −1.3% |
| Over 43.5 | −110 | 50.0% | 52.4% | −2.4% |
| Under 43.5 | −110 | 50.0% | 52.4% | −2.4% |
| BAL ML | −750 | 83.3% | 88.2% | −5.0% |
| TEN ML | +500 | 16.7% | 16.7% | +0.1% |

## Top prop edges

| Player | Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Ward | under 9.5 Rush Yds | −110 | 71.6% | 52.4% | +19.2% |
| Mark Andrews | under 3.5 Rec | +130 | 60.6% | 43.5% | +17.2% |
| Lamar Jackson | under 224.5 Pass Yds | −115 | 63.9% | 53.5% | +10.5% |

Full board: https://app.edgegoat.com

## FAQ

**When does Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens start?**

Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens (NFL) starts at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 4, 2026 at M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore.

**What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens?**

The model projects about 43.5 combined points.

**Who does the model favor in Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens?**

The model favors Baltimore Ravens by about 11.5 points.

**How many model edges are there for Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens?**

The model currently finds 10 lines priced below its own probability. The largest: Cam Ward under 9.5 rush yds (−110): model 71.6% vs book 52.4%, an edge of +19.2%. Edges are statements about prices, not guarantees about results.

## Related

- [Baltimore Ravens](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/teams/bal)
- [Tennessee Titans](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/teams/ten)
- [NFL slate for Sunday, October 4, 2026](https://edgegoat.com/nfl/2026-10-04)

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Source: EdgeGoat model projections (https://edgegoat.com) — CC BY 4.0 · data as of 2026-09-30
Canonical: https://edgegoat.com/nfl/games/2026-10-04-ten-at-bal
License: CC BY 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Methodology: https://edgegoat.com/methodology
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.