# Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche — NHL, Wednesday, September 30, 2026

NHL game on Wednesday, September 30, 2026, 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena, Denver. Status: scheduled.

## Model

| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Projected total | 6.3 |
| Projected home margin | 0.9 |
| Model edges priced | 11 |

## Game lines

| Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL -1.5 | +130 | 40.6% | 43.5% | −2.9% |
| LA +1.5 | −165 | 59.4% | 62.3% | −2.8% |
| Over 6.5 | +105 | 43.8% | 48.8% | −5.0% |
| Under 6.5 | −130 | 56.2% | 56.5% | −0.3% |
| COL ML | −180 | 63.4% | 64.3% | −0.9% |
| LA ML | +150 | 36.6% | 40.0% | −3.4% |

## Top prop edges

| Player | Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Zuccarello | over 0.5 P | +110 | 62.3% | 47.6% | +14.7% |
| Nazem Kadri | over 1.5 SOG | −185 | 75.5% | 64.9% | +10.6% |
| Adrian Kempe | over 0.5 P | −115 | 60.2% | 53.5% | +6.7% |

Full board: https://app.edgegoat.com

## FAQ

**When does Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche start?**

Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche (NHL) starts at 10:00 PM ET on Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at Ball Arena, Denver.

**What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche?**

The model projects about 6.3 combined goals.

**Who does the model favor in Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche?**

The model favors Colorado Avalanche by about 0.9 goals.

**How many model edges are there for Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche?**

The model currently finds 11 lines priced below its own probability. The largest: Mats Zuccarello over 0.5 p (+110): model 62.3% vs book 47.6%, an edge of +14.7%. Edges are statements about prices, not guarantees about results.

## Related

- [Colorado Avalanche](https://edgegoat.com/nhl/teams/col)
- [Los Angeles Kings](https://edgegoat.com/nhl/teams/la)
- [NHL slate for Wednesday, September 30, 2026](https://edgegoat.com/nhl/2026-09-30)

---

Source: EdgeGoat model projections (https://edgegoat.com) — CC BY 4.0 · data as of 2026-09-30
Canonical: https://edgegoat.com/nhl/games/2026-09-30-la-at-col
License: CC BY 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Methodology: https://edgegoat.com/methodology
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.