# Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers — NHL, Thursday, October 1, 2026

NHL game on Thursday, October 1, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden, New York. Status: scheduled.

## Model

| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Projected total | 5.9 |
| Projected home margin | 0.1 |
| Model edges priced | 0 |

## Game lines

| Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR +1.5 | −230 | 75.7% | 69.7% | +6.0% |
| TB -1.5 | +175 | 24.3% | 36.4% | −12.1% |
| Over 5.5 | −130 | 53.0% | 56.5% | −3.6% |
| Under 5.5 | +105 | 47.0% | 48.8% | −1.7% |
| NYR ML | +115 | 53.2% | 46.5% | +6.7% |
| TB ML | −135 | 46.8% | 57.4% | −10.7% |

## FAQ

**When does Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers start?**

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers (NHL) starts at 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, October 1, 2026 at Madison Square Garden, New York.

**What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers?**

The model projects about 5.9 combined goals.

**Who does the model favor in Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers?**

The model favors New York Rangers by about 0.1 goals.

## Related

- [New York Rangers](https://edgegoat.com/nhl/teams/nyr)
- [Tampa Bay Lightning](https://edgegoat.com/nhl/teams/tb)
- [NHL slate for Thursday, October 1, 2026](https://edgegoat.com/nhl/2026-10-01)

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Source: EdgeGoat model projections (https://edgegoat.com) — CC BY 4.0 · data as of 2026-09-30
Canonical: https://edgegoat.com/nhl/games/2026-10-01-tb-at-nyr
License: CC BY 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Methodology: https://edgegoat.com/methodology
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.