# Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics — WNBA, Wednesday, September 30, 2026

WNBA game on Wednesday, September 30, 2026, 7:00 PM ET at CareFirst Arena, Washington. Status: scheduled.

## Model

| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Projected total | 165.8 |
| Projected home margin | -3.7 |
| Model edges priced | 21 |

## Game lines

| Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH +3.5 | −105 | 49.4% | 51.2% | −1.9% |
| ATL -3.5 | −115 | 50.6% | 53.5% | −2.8% |
| Over 165.5 | −115 | 50.8% | 53.5% | −2.6% |
| Under 165.5 | −105 | 49.2% | 51.2% | −2.1% |
| WSH ML | +140 | 39.4% | 41.7% | −2.2% |
| ATL ML | −170 | 60.6% | 63.0% | −2.4% |

## Top prop edges

| Player | Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakira Austin | under 10.5 REB | −120 | 72.0% | 54.5% | +17.4% |
| Shakira Austin | under 17.5 PTS | −110 | 68.2% | 52.4% | +15.8% |
| Sonia Citron | under 4.5 AST | −140 | 73.6% | 58.3% | +15.2% |

Full board: https://app.edgegoat.com

## FAQ

**When does Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics start?**

Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics (WNBA) starts at 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at CareFirst Arena, Washington.

**What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics?**

The model projects about 165.8 combined points.

**Who does the model favor in Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics?**

The model favors Atlanta Dream by about 3.7 points.

**How many model edges are there for Atlanta Dream at Washington Mystics?**

The model currently finds 21 lines priced below its own probability. The largest: Shakira Austin under 10.5 reb (−120): model 72.0% vs book 54.5%, an edge of +17.4%. Edges are statements about prices, not guarantees about results.

## Related

- [Washington Mystics](https://edgegoat.com/wnba/teams/wsh)
- [Atlanta Dream](https://edgegoat.com/wnba/teams/atl)
- [WNBA slate for Wednesday, September 30, 2026](https://edgegoat.com/wnba/2026-09-30)

---

Source: EdgeGoat model projections (https://edgegoat.com) — CC BY 4.0 · data as of 2026-09-30
Canonical: https://edgegoat.com/wnba/games/2026-09-30-atl-at-wsh
License: CC BY 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Methodology: https://edgegoat.com/methodology
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.