# Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces — WNBA, Thursday, October 1, 2026

WNBA game on Thursday, October 1, 2026, 9:00 PM ET at Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas. Status: scheduled.

## Model

| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Projected total | 181.1 |
| Projected home margin | 4 |
| Model edges priced | 21 |

## Game lines

| Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LV -3.5 | −120 | 51.4% | 54.5% | −3.2% |
| IND +3.5 | +100 | 48.6% | 50.0% | −1.4% |
| Over 180.5 | −115 | 51.8% | 53.5% | −1.7% |
| Under 180.5 | −105 | 48.2% | 51.2% | −3.0% |
| LV ML | −175 | 61.0% | 63.6% | −2.6% |
| IND ML | +145 | 39.0% | 40.8% | −1.8% |

## Top prop edges

| Player | Line | Price | Model % | Book % | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | under 28.5 PTS | −115 | 71.6% | 53.5% | +18.1% |
| Aliyah Boston | under 8.5 REB | −120 | 72.4% | 54.5% | +17.9% |
| A'ja Wilson | under 10.5 REB | −115 | 69.3% | 53.5% | +15.8% |

Full board: https://app.edgegoat.com

## FAQ

**When does Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces start?**

Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces (WNBA) starts at 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, October 1, 2026 at Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas.

**What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces?**

The model projects about 181.1 combined points.

**Who does the model favor in Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces?**

The model favors Las Vegas Aces by about 4 points.

**How many model edges are there for Indiana Fever at Las Vegas Aces?**

The model currently finds 21 lines priced below its own probability. The largest: A'ja Wilson under 28.5 pts (−115): model 71.6% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +18.1%. Edges are statements about prices, not guarantees about results.

## Related

- [Las Vegas Aces](https://edgegoat.com/wnba/teams/lv)
- [Indiana Fever](https://edgegoat.com/wnba/teams/ind)
- [WNBA slate for Thursday, October 1, 2026](https://edgegoat.com/wnba/2026-10-01)

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Source: EdgeGoat model projections (https://edgegoat.com) — CC BY 4.0 · data as of 2026-09-30
Canonical: https://edgegoat.com/wnba/games/2026-10-01-ind-at-lv
License: CC BY 4.0 — https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Methodology: https://edgegoat.com/methodology
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.