Find the edges.Track every leg live.

The model's probability next to the book's on every line, correlation-aware parlays and live tracking — tuned for Hard Rock Bet, Florida's only sportsbook.

FL Made for FloridaHR One tap to Hard Rock Bet
Model vs book · todayAll edges ↓
  • PHI
    Jalen HurtsUnder 20.5 Rush Yds
    67.8%44.4%+23.4%
  • PHI
    Saquon BarkleyUnder 67.5 Rush Yds
    65.2%42.6%+22.7%

Where the model disagrees with the book

A few of today's largest gaps between the model's probability and the break-even rate of the Hard Rock price. The full board — every line, every league — lives in the app.

Model % vs the break-even % of the Hard Rock price. How to read thisFull model board in the app →
See it in action

Three surfaces. One workflow. Hard Rock built-in.

Pick your edges, build a correlated slip, then hand it off to Hard Rock Bet in one tap. Every leg keeps its selection ID so your slip lands pre-filled — then track it live as the game unfolds.

Builder

Find the edge before you build the slip.

Every available prop is scored against our projection. The Builder ranks candidates by EV, surfaces alt lines, and flags when legs correlate so you stop blindly stacking same-game.

Parlay BuilderExample · sorted by edge
BOS
Jayson Tatum
BOS · NYK @ BOS
Over 27.5 PTS
62.0%52.4%+9.6%
TOR
Auston Matthews
TOR · MTL @ TOR
Over 4.5 SOG
59.0%48.8%+10.2%
NYY
Aaron Judge
NYY · BOS @ NYY
Over 1.5 TB
61.0%55.6%+5.4%
DEN
Nikola Jokić
DEN · LAL @ DEN
Over 49.5 PRA
63.0%53.5%+9.5%
CorrelationIndependent
4-leg price
+1217
Edge+

Pregame and live edges, separated for a reason.

Pregame edges refresh with every projection and odds update — never stale. Live edges recompute play-by-play, pulled when the game turns against you and refreshed when a better edge opens up.

MIN
Anthony Edwards
MIN · MIN @ DEN
Over 38.5 PRA28
61.0%52.4%+8.6%
EDM
Connor McDavid
EDM · EDM @ VAN
Over 3.5 SOG3
65.0%54.5%+10.5%
Tracker

Watch every leg settle in real time.

Leg-by-leg progress bars, live win probability, auto-resolution when overs hit, void detection on DNPs. Open a card and know exactly where your slip stands.

3-leg parlayLive
+604
BOS
Jayson Tatum
36 MIN
OVER 27.5 PTS
(-110)
WON
TOR
Auston Matthews
14 MIN
OVER 4.5 SOG
(+105)
Needs 2
62%49%
NYY
Aaron Judge
2 ABBat #2
OVER 1.5 Total Bases
(-125)
Needs 1
55%56%
Model win probability
58%
The only Hard Rock-native edge tool

Built specifically for Hard Rock Bet — Florida's only legal sportsbook.

Every leg you add to the cart carries its Hard Rock selection ID. One tap opens your betslip — pre-filled, identical, ready to place. No screenshots, no copy-pasting odds.

EdgeGoat cart
Your built slip
  • Jayson Tatum
    O 27.5 PTS · BOS
    −110
  • Auston Matthews
    O 4.5 SOG · TOR
    +105
  • Aaron Judge
    O 1.5 TB · NYY
    −125
  • Nikola Jokić
    O 49.5 PRA · DEN
    −115
4-leg parlay+1217
Open in Hard Rock
Hard Rock betslip
Pre-filled, ready to place
HR
  • Jayson Tatum
    O 27.5 PTS · BOS
    −110
  • Auston Matthews
    O 4.5 SOG · TOR
    +105
  • Aaron Judge
    O 1.5 TB · NYY
    −125
  • Nikola Jokić
    O 49.5 PRA · DEN
    −115
4-leg parlay+1217
Place Bet

EdgeGoat is not affiliated with Hard Rock Digital. We generate the open-app deeplink from each leg's public selection ID — your bet is placed entirely inside the Hard Rock app.

Eight leagues. One engine.

From traditional pro leagues to 1v1 esports — same projections, same correlation modeling, same live tracking.

Built for Florida

Built where you bet.

Florida is the largest US betting market with a single legal book. Most edge tools were built for the multi-book east coast — cluttered with "best price across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM" panels you can't use. EdgeGoat is built for Florida bettors first: every projection scored against Hard Rock's exact odds, every leg deeplinked to the Hard Rock app.

HR

One book, sharp pricing

Projections scored against Hard Rock's exact odds — no stale "consensus" line distorting your edge.

HR

One-tap handoff

Every leg carries its Hard Rock selection ID. Open your slip pre-filled, hit place.

HR

Florida-tuned

Heat, Magic, Bucs, Bolts, 'Noles, Gators, Hurricanes — every market you actually bet, prioritized.

EdgeGoat is an independent edge tool. We do not place bets. Hard Rock Bet (operated by Hard Rock Digital, LLC) is a separate entity — we generate open-app deeplinks from public selection IDs.

Everything to find, build, and settle.

Built for bettors who care more about edge than action — and want a tool that quantifies both.

ML Projections

Per-stat distributions for every player. Trained walk-forward across multiple seasons, tuned per league.

Smart Builder

Surfaces alt lines sorted by EV, ranks candidates by hit rate, and warns when legs share underlying signal.

Live Tracker

Auto-settles in-game when overs hit, voids on DNPs, surfaces win-probability shifts every play.

Edge Detection

Compares model projections to live sportsbook lines and ranks the slate by EV — pregame and in-game.

Correlation Modeling

Visualizes correlation between legs in your cart so you stop double-counting same-game signal.

Multi-League

NFL, MLB, WNBA, NBA, NHL and college basketball, plus 1v1 esports (Volta, FIFA) — including draws and 3-way moneylines.

iOS beta

Track every leg without staying glued to a screen.

The native iOS app is in private TestFlight. Push notifications fire the moment a leg settles, the over hits, or the player is ruled out. Same builder, same tracker, same data — in your pocket.

  • Push notifications for leg settlement & DNP voids
  • Live tracking on the go, parity with web
  • Apple Sign-In, no extra password to remember
Request beta access

Beta is invite-only while we tune push reliability. Reply with your Apple ID email and we'll add you to TestFlight.

3-leg parlayLive
+604
BOS
Jayson Tatum
36 MIN
OVER 27.5 PTS
(-110)
WON
TOR
Auston Matthews
14 MIN
OVER 4.5 SOG
(+105)
Needs 2
62%49%
NYY
Aaron Judge
2 ABBat #2
OVER 1.5 Total Bases
(-125)
Needs 1
55%56%
Model win probability
58%
Pricing

Pay for what you'll actually use.

Start free. Upgrade when the edge is paying for itself.

Free

Kick the tires.

$0/forever
  • Live scoreboards including Heat, Magic, Bucs, Bolts
  • Basic game data & box scores
  • Save up to 3 parlays per day
  • Bet history with P&L tracking
Start free
Most popular

Pro

For bettors who want the edge.

$39/mo
  • Everything in Free
  • ML player projections & distributions
  • Smart Builder, EV-sorted for Hard Rock's exact line
  • Edge detection across the full slate
  • Correlation viewer in cart
  • Unlimited parlays
Get Pro
Hard Rock-ready

Sharp

For bettors who play live.

$99/mo
  • Everything in Pro
  • Live in-game projections, recomputed every Hard Rock odds update
  • Live in-game edge alerts(soon)
  • Promo converters(soon)
  • Priority support
Get Sharp

No card required for Free · Cancel any subscription from your account portal

Questions worth asking.

If yours isn't here, email [email protected].

NFL, MLB, WNBA, NBA, NHL and college basketball are live for everyone, each priced in its own season. Volta (1v1 esports) and FIFA (1v1 soccer esports) are in beta. Every league covers player props, spreads, totals and 3-way markets where the book offers them.
We combine player gamelogs, opponent context, lineup chemistry, pace, and venue effects through a multi-stage ML pipeline (gradient-boosted ensembles plus neural embeddings). Every model is walk-forward validated — trained only on data available before the game it's projecting.
Sharp tier includes Bayesian in-game projections that update every play and surface fresh edges as the line moves. Tracking auto-resolves overs the moment they hit and voids on DNPs across leagues — including draws and double-chance for soccer/esports.
EdgeGoat is a statistical analysis tool. We do not facilitate wagering, accept bets, or hold funds. Users are responsible for following their local laws and only wagering through licensed operators where permitted.
Yes. Cancel from your account portal in one click. You'll keep access until the end of your current billing period, then drop to Free.
Yes, in private TestFlight beta — request access from the iOS section above. The web app at app.edgegoat.com is fully featured and works on mobile browsers today.
Three things: distributional projections (not just a point estimate) shown as the model's probability next to the book's on every line, a correlation-aware Builder that quantifies leg dependence, and a live tracker that resolves slips automatically.