EdgeGoat
Marcus Smart
Los Angeles Lakers · #36 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 blocks | May 11 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 100.0% | 90.5% | won(0) |
| Under 6.5 assists | May 11 · projected 5.7 | 5.7 | 99.0% | 90.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 steals | May 11 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 100.0% | 58.3% | lost(2) |
| Under 2.5 threePointersMade | May 11 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 80.5% | 66.7% | won(0) |
| Under 11.5 points | May 11 · projected 8.4 | 8.4 | 74.5% | 56.5% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 rebounds | May 11 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 53.0% | 41.7% | won(0) |
| Under 14.5 points | May 9 · projected 8.3 | 8.3 | 88.0% | 59.2% | won(10) |
| Under 2.5 rebounds | May 5 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 59.4% | 50.0% | lost(3) |
| Under 10.5 points | May 5 · projected 8.3 | 8.3 | 64.4% | 56.5% | lost(12) |
- Under 1.5 blocksMay 11 · projected 0.5won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 90.5%
- Under 6.5 assistsMay 11 · projected 5.7won(0)
- Model
- 99.0%
- Book
- 90.5%
- Under 1.5 stealsMay 11 · projected 1.1lost(2)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 2.5 threePointersMadeMay 11 · projected 1.4won(0)
- Model
- 80.5%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 11.5 pointsMay 11 · projected 8.4won(0)
- Model
- 74.5%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 2.5 reboundsMay 11 · projected 1.8won(0)
- Model
- 53.0%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Under 14.5 pointsMay 9 · projected 8.3won(10)
- Model
- 88.0%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 2.5 reboundsMay 5 · projected 0.8lost(3)
- Model
- 59.4%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 10.5 pointsMay 5 · projected 8.3lost(12)
- Model
- 64.4%
- Book
- 56.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Marcus Smart's props?
Across the last 9 graded model lines on Marcus Smart, 6 won and 3 lost.
Every Marcus Smart line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).