EdgeGoatMLB projections and model edges
Every MLB line the model prices, with its probability next to the sportsbook's. Slate for Wednesday, September 30, 2026.
Games today4
Next 10 days8games scheduled
Top edge+5.3%Jarren Duran
Today's games
Top MLB model edges
The largest gaps between model probability and the break-even rate of the Hard Rock price.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jarren Duran | Under 0.5 RunsBOS @ NYY | 81.8% | 76.5%−325 | +5.3% |
| Adley Rutschman | Under 0.5 Batter BBBOS @ NYY | 73.5% | 68.8%−220 | +4.8% |
| Willson Contreras | Under 0.5 Batter BBBOS @ NYY | 71.1% | 66.7%−200 | +4.5% |
 Edmundo Sosa | Under 0.5 Batter BBPHI @ ATL | 88.7% | 84.6%−550 | +4.1% |
| Alec Bohm | Under 0.5 Batter BBPHI @ ATL | 76.2% | 73.3%−275 | +2.9% |
Model % vs the break-even % of the Hard Rock price. How to read thisFull model board in the app →
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Every prop and game line the model prices, alt lines, correlation-aware parlay building and live tracking of every leg.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).