NHL projections and model edges
Every NHL line the model prices, with its probability next to the sportsbook's. Slate for Saturday, November 14, 2026.
Today's games
Top NHL model edges
The largest gaps between model probability and the break-even rate of the Hard Rock price.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 PTSMIN @ BOS | 86.0% | 70.6%−240 | +15.4 pts | |
| Over 0.5 PTSOTT @ PIT | 71.7% | 57.4%−135 | +14.3 pts | |
| Under 2.5 SOGBUF @ DAL | 68.6% | 54.5%−120 | +14.1 pts | |
| Under 0.5 PTSSJ @ UTA | 76.7% | 63.0%−170 | +13.8 pts | |
| Over 0.5 PTSCGY @ LA | 56.0% | 43.5%+130 | +12.5 pts |
Teams
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).