EdgeGoat
Thomas Harley
Dallas Stars · #55 · 85 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 SOGBUF @ DAL | 68.6% | 53.5%−115 | +15.1 pts |
- Under 2.5 SOGBUF @ DAL+15.1 pts
- Model
- 68.6%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | G | A | PTS | SOG | HIT | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | vs WPG | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nov 7 | vs SJ | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Nov 5 | @ CBJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| Nov 3 | @ WSH | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Oct 31 | vs CBJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 29 | vs MTL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Oct 27 | vs NJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Oct 25 | vs NYI | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Oct 22 | vs WPG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Oct 20 | vs BOS | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Oct 17 | @ CHI | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 14 | @ COL | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Oct 13 | vs COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 10 | @ PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| Oct 8 | @ BUF | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Oct 5 | vs SJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 3 | @ NSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 2 | vs STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Apr 30 | @ MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Apr 28 | vs MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 SOG | Nov 12 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 66.2% | 60.0% |
| Under 0.5 A | Oct 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 71.5% | 66.7% |
| Under 0.5 A | Oct 22 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 70.7% | 69.2% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 17 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 56.3% | 54.5% |
| Under 0.5 A | Oct 17 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 70.7% | 70.6% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 5 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 61.6% | 51.2% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 3 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 60.5% | 60.0% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 2 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 60.9% | 60.0% |
- Under 2.5 SOGNov 12 · projected 2.1
- Model
- 66.2%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 0.5 AOct 25 · projected 0.3
- Model
- 71.5%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 0.5 AOct 22 · projected 0.3
- Model
- 70.7%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 17 · projected 1.9
- Model
- 56.3%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 0.5 AOct 17 · projected 0.3
- Model
- 70.7%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 5 · projected 2.0
- Model
- 61.6%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 3 · projected 1.9
- Model
- 60.5%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 2 · projected 2.0
- Model
- 60.9%
- Book
- 60.0%
Frequently asked questions
What is Thomas Harley averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Thomas Harley is averaging 0.1 g, 0.6 a, 0.7 pts, 2.1 sog.
How did Thomas Harley play in the last game?
On Thursday, November 12, 2026 vs WPG, Thomas Harley recorded 0 g, 2 a, 2 pts, 1 sog.
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Thomas Harley today?
The strongest current line: Thomas Harley under 2.5 sog (−115): model 68.6% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +15.1 pts.
Every Thomas Harley line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).