EdgeGoatNBA projections and model edges
Every NBA line the model prices, with its probability next to the sportsbook's. Slate for Saturday, November 14, 2026.
Today's games
Top NBA model edges
The largest gaps between model probability and the break-even rate of the Hard Rock price.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 17.5 REB+ASTDET @ MIA | 79.6% | 52.4%−110 | +27.2 pts | |
| Under 22.5 PTS+ASTBKN @ MEM | 77.4% | 54.5%−120 | +22.9 pts |
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).