EdgeGoat
Morgan Frost
Calgary Flames · #16 · 98 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 PTSCGY @ LA | 56.0% | 43.5%+130 | +12.5 pts |
- Over 0.5 PTSCGY @ LA+12.5 pts
- Model
- 56.0%
- Book
- 43.5%+130
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | G | A | PTS | SOG | HIT | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 8 | vs PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Nov 6 | vs ANA | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 4 | @ SEA | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 2 | @ SJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 31 | @ COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 30 | vs SEA | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 28 | @ EDM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 26 | vs TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 24 | vs DET | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Oct 22 | vs MIN | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 18 | vs CAR | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 15 | @ VGK | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 13 | @ ANA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Oct 10 | vs ANA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 8 | vs COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 4 | @ SEA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 3 | @ VAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Oct 1 | vs SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 16 | vs LA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 PTS | Nov 8 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 57.4% | 47.6% |
| Over 0.5 PTS | Nov 6 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 57.0% | 54.5% |
| Under 0.5 A | Nov 2 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 72.5% | 71.4% |
| Under 0.5 A | Oct 22 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 72.0% | 70.6% |
| Under 0.5 A | Oct 15 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 77.9% | 77.8% |
| Under 2.5 SOG | Oct 10 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 70.9% | 66.1% |
| Under 0.5 A | Oct 10 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 76.8% | 70.6% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 8 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 58.1% | 57.4% |
| Under 0.5 A | Oct 8 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 76.7% | 71.4% |
| Under 0.5 A | Oct 4 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 76.6% | 76.5% |
| Under 2.5 SOG | Oct 3 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 72.0% | 64.3% |
| Under 0.5 A | Oct 3 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 76.0% | 71.4% |
- Over 0.5 PTSNov 8 · projected 0.8
- Model
- 57.4%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 0.5 PTSNov 6 · projected 0.7
- Model
- 57.0%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 0.5 ANov 2 · projected 0.3
- Model
- 72.5%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 0.5 AOct 22 · projected 0.3
- Model
- 72.0%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 0.5 AOct 15 · projected 0.2
- Model
- 77.9%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 2.5 SOGOct 10 · projected 1.9
- Model
- 70.9%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 0.5 AOct 10 · projected 0.3
- Model
- 76.8%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 8 · projected 1.9
- Model
- 58.1%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 0.5 AOct 8 · projected 0.3
- Model
- 76.7%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 0.5 AOct 4 · projected 0.3
- Model
- 76.6%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 2.5 SOGOct 3 · projected 1.8
- Model
- 72.0%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 0.5 AOct 3 · projected 0.3
- Model
- 76.0%
- Book
- 71.4%
Frequently asked questions
What is Morgan Frost averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Morgan Frost is averaging 0.3 g, 0.4 a, 0.7 pts, 1.7 sog.
How did Morgan Frost play in the last game?
On Wednesday, November 11, 2026 vs NYR, Morgan Frost recorded 0 g, 0 a, 0 pts, 0 sog.
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Morgan Frost today?
The strongest current line: Morgan Frost over 0.5 pts (+130): model 56.0% vs book 43.5%, an edge of +12.5 pts.
Every Morgan Frost line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).