EdgeGoat
David Pastrnak
Boston Bruins · #88 · 92 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 PTSMIN @ BOS | 86.0% | 70.6%−240 | +15.4 pts |
- Over 0.5 PTSMIN @ BOS+15.4 pts
- Model
- 86.0%
- Book
- 70.6%−240
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | G | A | PTS | SOG | HIT | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | vs MTL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Nov 8 | vs FLA | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Nov 5 | @ PIT | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Nov 2 | vs VGK | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 |
| Oct 31 | vs CHI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 29 | @ STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 27 | @ CAR | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 24 | vs SJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 22 | vs NSH | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 20 | @ DAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 17 | @ LA | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 16 | @ ANA | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 13 | @ SJ | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 10 | vs PHI | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 8 | vs UTA | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 5 | vs OTT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Oct 3 | @ MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Oct 2 | @ WPG | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 29 | vs NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| May 1 | vs BUF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 PTS | Nov 12 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 71.5% | 66.7% |
| Over 0.5 A | Nov 8 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 58.0% | 55.6% |
| Over 0.5 A | Nov 5 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 55.0% | 54.5% |
| Over 2.5 SOG | Oct 27 · projected 3.3 | 3.3 | 62.0% | 55.6% |
| Over 0.5 A | Oct 24 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 62.5% | 60.8% |
| Over 0.5 A | Oct 20 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 57.4% | 52.4% |
| Over 0.5 A | Oct 17 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 58.2% | 53.5% |
| Under 1.5 PTS | Oct 10 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 64.4% | 63.6% |
| Over 0.5 A | Oct 10 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 57.8% | 56.5% |
| Over 2.5 SOG | Oct 5 · projected 3.4 | 3.4 | 67.0% | 64.3% |
| Over 0.5 A | Oct 5 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 57.0% | 53.5% |
| Over 0.5 A | Oct 3 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 57.7% | 47.6% |
| Over 0.5 A | Sep 29 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 58.9% | 50.0% |
- Under 1.5 PTSNov 12 · projected 1.2
- Model
- 71.5%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 ANov 8 · projected 0.8
- Model
- 58.0%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 ANov 5 · projected 0.8
- Model
- 55.0%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 2.5 SOGOct 27 · projected 3.3
- Model
- 62.0%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 AOct 24 · projected 1.0
- Model
- 62.5%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 AOct 20 · projected 0.9
- Model
- 57.4%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 0.5 AOct 17 · projected 0.9
- Model
- 58.2%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 1.5 PTSOct 10 · projected 1.2
- Model
- 64.4%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 AOct 10 · projected 0.9
- Model
- 57.8%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 2.5 SOGOct 5 · projected 3.4
- Model
- 67.0%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 AOct 5 · projected 0.8
- Model
- 57.0%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 AOct 3 · projected 0.9
- Model
- 57.7%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 0.5 ASep 29 · projected 0.8
- Model
- 58.9%
- Book
- 50.0%
Frequently asked questions
What is David Pastrnak averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, David Pastrnak is averaging 0.5 g, 0.8 a, 1.3 pts, 3.6 sog.
How did David Pastrnak play in the last game?
On Thursday, November 12, 2026 vs MTL, David Pastrnak recorded 0 g, 0 a, 0 pts, 3 sog.
What does the EdgeGoat model say about David Pastrnak today?
The strongest current line: David Pastrnak over 0.5 pts (−240): model 86.0% vs book 70.6%, an edge of +15.4 pts.
Every David Pastrnak line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).