EdgeGoatEdmonton Oilers at Vancouver CanucksPreview · NHL · Thursday, October 1, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET
Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
53.4%65.5%−12.1%
Model53.4%Book−19065.5%Edge−12.1%
46.6%38.5%+8.1%
Model46.6%Book+16038.5%Edge+8.1%
SpreadModel: EDM by 0.3
VAN +1.5
Model68.9%Book59.2%−145+9.7%
TotalModel: 6.5 goals
Under 6.5
Model52.1%Book52.4%−110−0.3%
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in goals); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN ML | 46.6% | 38.5%+160 | +8.1% |
| EDM ML | 53.4% | 65.5%−190 | −12.1% |
| VAN +1.5 | 68.9% | 59.2%−145 | +9.7% |
| EDM -1.5 | 31.1% | 46.5%+115 | −15.4% |
| Over 6.5 | 47.9% | 52.4%−110 | −4.5% |
| Under 6.5 | 52.1% | 52.4%−110 | −0.3% |
- VAN ML+8.1%
- Model
- 46.6%
- Book
- 38.5%+160
- EDM ML−12.1%
- Model
- 53.4%
- Book
- 65.5%−190
- VAN +1.5+9.7%
- Model
- 68.9%
- Book
- 59.2%−145
- EDM -1.5−15.4%
- Model
- 31.1%
- Book
- 46.5%+115
- Over 6.5−4.5%
- Model
- 47.9%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 6.5−0.3%
- Model
- 52.1%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Frequently asked questions
When does Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks start?
Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks (NHL) starts at 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, October 1, 2026 at Rogers Arena, Vancouver.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks?
The model projects about 6.5 combined goals.
Who does the model favor in Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks?
The model favors Edmonton Oilers by about 0.3 goals.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).