EdgeGoatPhiladelphia Flyers at New Jersey DevilsPreview · NHL · Thursday, October 1, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
Prudential Center, Newark
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
43.2%45.5%−2.3%
Model43.2%Book+12045.5%Edge−2.3%
56.8%58.3%−1.5%
Model56.8%Book−14058.3%Edge−1.5%
SpreadModel: NJ by 0.4
PHI +1.5
Model67.9%Book67.7%−210+0.1%
TotalModel: 6.2 goals
Over 5.5
Model58.3%Book53.5%−115+4.8%
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in goals); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| NJ ML | 56.8% | 58.3%−140 | −1.5% |
| PHI ML | 43.2% | 45.5%+120 | −2.3% |
| NJ -1.5 | 32.1% | 38.5%+160 | −6.3% |
| PHI +1.5 | 67.9% | 67.7%−210 | +0.1% |
| Over 5.5 | 58.3% | 53.5%−115 | +4.8% |
| Under 5.5 | 41.7% | 51.2%−105 | −9.5% |
- NJ ML−1.5%
- Model
- 56.8%
- Book
- 58.3%−140
- PHI ML−2.3%
- Model
- 43.2%
- Book
- 45.5%+120
- NJ -1.5−6.3%
- Model
- 32.1%
- Book
- 38.5%+160
- PHI +1.5+0.1%
- Model
- 67.9%
- Book
- 67.7%−210
- Over 5.5+4.8%
- Model
- 58.3%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Under 5.5−9.5%
- Model
- 41.7%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
Frequently asked questions
When does Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils start?
Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils (NHL) starts at 7:00 PM ET on Thursday, October 1, 2026 at Prudential Center, Newark.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils?
The model projects about 6.2 combined goals.
Who does the model favor in Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils?
The model favors New Jersey Devils by about 0.4 goals.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).