EdgeGoatSeattle Kraken at Calgary FlamesPreview · NHL · Thursday, October 1, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
48.1%52.4%−4.3%
Model48.1%Book−11052.4%Edge−4.3%
51.9%52.4%−0.5%
Model51.9%Book−11052.4%Edge−0.5%
SpreadModel: CGY by 0.1
SEA +1.5
Model73.0%Book75.0%−300−2.0%
TotalModel: 5.8 goals
Over 5.5
Model51.8%Book52.4%−110−0.6%
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in goals); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| CGY ML | 51.9% | 52.4%−110 | −0.5% |
| SEA ML | 48.1% | 52.4%−110 | −4.3% |
| CGY -1.5 | 27.0% | 33.3%+200 | −6.4% |
| SEA +1.5 | 73.0% | 75.0%−300 | −2.0% |
| Over 5.5 | 51.8% | 52.4%−110 | −0.6% |
| Under 5.5 | 48.2% | 52.4%−110 | −4.2% |
- CGY ML−0.5%
- Model
- 51.9%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- SEA ML−4.3%
- Model
- 48.1%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- CGY -1.5−6.4%
- Model
- 27.0%
- Book
- 33.3%+200
- SEA +1.5−2.0%
- Model
- 73.0%
- Book
- 75.0%−300
- Over 5.5−0.6%
- Model
- 51.8%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 5.5−4.2%
- Model
- 48.2%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Frequently asked questions
When does Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames start?
Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames (NHL) starts at 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, October 1, 2026 at Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames?
The model projects about 5.8 combined goals.
Who does the model favor in Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames?
The model favors Calgary Flames by about 0.1 goals.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).