EdgeGoat
Aaron Nola
Philadelphia Phillies · #27 · 52 games logged
IP · last 205.2
K · last 205.4
HA · last 205
ER · last 202.4
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | IP | K | HA | ER | BBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | @ ATL | 1.2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Sep 26 | vs TB | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | vs MIL | 6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Sep 17 | @ NYM | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 11 | @ ATL | 6.1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| Sep 6 | vs ATL | 7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Aug 31 | @ ARI | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Aug 25 | @ SEA | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Aug 19 | vs MIA | 7 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Aug 13 | vs MIN | 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Aug 8 | vs TOR | 5 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Aug 3 | vs WSH | 6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Jul 28 | @ MIA | 5.2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Jul 22 | vs LAD | 5.1 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 |
| Jul 16 | vs NYM | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| Jul 10 | @ DET | 5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Jul 5 | @ KC | 7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Jun 29 | vs PIT | 4.1 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 2 |
| Jun 24 | @ WSH | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Jun 18 | vs NYM | 5 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 Innings Pitched | Oct 1 · projected 15.2 | 15.2 | 93.8% | 54.5% |
| Over 3.5 Pitcher K's | Oct 1 · projected 4.5 | 4.5 | 65.3% | 51.2% |
- Over 9.5 Innings PitchedOct 1 · projected 15.2
- Model
- 93.8%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 3.5 Pitcher K'sOct 1 · projected 4.5
- Model
- 65.3%
- Book
- 51.2%
Frequently asked questions
What is Aaron Nola averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Aaron Nola is averaging 5.2 ip, 5.4 k, 5 ha, 2.4 er.
How did Aaron Nola play in the last game?
On Thursday, October 1, 2026 at ATL, Aaron Nola recorded 1.2 ip, 1 k, 2 ha, 3 er.
Every Aaron Nola line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).