EdgeGoat
Abimelec Ortiz
Washington Nationals · #81 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.5% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 8 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 68.5% | 55.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 26 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 69.4% | 69.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 24 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 51.4% | 44.4% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 91.3% | 72.2% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 20 · projected 2.6 | 2.6 | 63.1% | 37.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 20 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 65.5% | 60.8% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 7 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 70.8% | 61.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 7 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 77.2% | 66.1% | lost(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.5%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 8 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 68.5%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 26 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 69.4%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 24 · projected 2.0lost(1)
- Model
- 51.4%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 91.3%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 20 · projected 2.6lost(0)
- Model
- 63.1%
- Book
- 37.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 20 · projected 1.3lost(0)
- Model
- 65.5%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 7 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 70.8%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 7 · projected 1.8lost(0)
- Model
- 77.2%
- Book
- 66.1%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Abimelec Ortiz's props?
Across the last 9 graded model lines on Abimelec Ortiz, 3 won and 6 lost.
Every Abimelec Ortiz line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).