EdgeGoat
Adley Rutschman
Boston Red Sox · #31 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adley Rutschman | Under 0.5 Batter BBBOS @ NYY | 73.5% | 68.8%−220 | +4.8% |
| Adley Rutschman | Under 0.5 RunsBOS @ NYY | 69.8% | 68.8%−220 | +1.1% |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 29 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.4% | 65.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 29 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 61.9% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 87.8% | 71.4% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 25 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.5% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 25 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 71.8% | 67.7% | won(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 24 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 61.9% | 37.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 24 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 73.5% | 62.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 20 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 74.2% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 20 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 63.1% | 42.6% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 19 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 63.1% | 40.0% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 19 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 74.2% | 63.6% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 17 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 63.1% | 40.8% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 17 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 74.3% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 15 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 47.3% | 37.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 29 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 74.2% | 62.3% | void(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 29 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 62.7% | 35.7% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 29 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 74.2% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 29 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 62.7% | 35.7% | won(2) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Aug 24 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.9% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 21 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 73.4% | 68.8% | won(1) |
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 29 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.4%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 29 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 61.9%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 27 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 87.8%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 25 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 61.5%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 25 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 71.8%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 24 · projected 2.2lost(0)
- Model
- 61.9%
- Book
- 37.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 24 · projected 1.3lost(0)
- Model
- 73.5%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 20 · projected 1.4won(1)
- Model
- 74.2%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 20 · projected 2.2lost(1)
- Model
- 63.1%
- Book
- 42.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 19 · projected 2.2won(2)
- Model
- 63.1%
- Book
- 40.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 19 · projected 1.4won(1)
- Model
- 74.2%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 17 · projected 2.2lost(1)
- Model
- 63.1%
- Book
- 40.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 17 · projected 1.4won(1)
- Model
- 74.3%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 15 · projected 2.0lost(0)
- Model
- 47.3%
- Book
- 37.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 29 · projected 1.4void(0)
- Model
- 74.2%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 29 · projected 2.2void(0)
- Model
- 62.7%
- Book
- 35.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 29 · projected 1.4won(1)
- Model
- 74.2%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 29 · projected 2.2won(2)
- Model
- 62.7%
- Book
- 35.7%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBAug 24 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.9%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 21 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 73.4%
- Book
- 68.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Adley Rutschman today?
The strongest current line: Adley Rutschman under 0.5 batter bb (−220): model 73.5% vs book 68.8%, an edge of +4.8%.
How has the model done on Adley Rutschman's props?
Across the last 18 graded model lines on Adley Rutschman, 12 won and 6 lost.
Every Adley Rutschman line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).