EdgeGoat
Adrian Del Castillo
Arizona Diamondbacks · #25 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 1 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.0% | 54.5% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 31 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 63.4% | 62.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.6% | 56.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.9% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 26 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 49.8% | 32.3% | won(4) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 26 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 73.2% | 55.6% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 10 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 71.4% | pending |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 72.2% | lost(2) |
| Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 7 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 60.0% | 36.4% | won(2) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | May 7 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 87.5% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 7 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 96.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 95.7% | won(1) |
| Under 3.5 runsScored | May 7 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 7 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 42.7% | 26.7% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 1 · projected 1.0void(0)
- Model
- 64.0%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 31 · projected 1.7lost(0)
- Model
- 63.4%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 65.6%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 65.9%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 26 · projected 2.1won(4)
- Model
- 49.8%
- Book
- 32.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 26 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 73.2%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 10 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 7 · projected 2.1won(2)
- Model
- 60.0%
- Book
- 36.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksMay 7 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 87.5%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 7 · projected 0.0won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 96.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 95.7%
- Under 3.5 runsScoredMay 7 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 7 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 42.7%
- Book
- 26.7%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Adrian Del Castillo's props?
Across the last 12 graded model lines on Adrian Del Castillo, 8 won and 4 lost.
Every Adrian Del Castillo line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).