Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals · #41 · 0 games logged

Projection vs line history

Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.

Projection vs line history
Line	Date	Projection	Model	Book	Result
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Sep 26 · projected 1.0	1.0	65.8%	65.5%	won(1)
Under 0.5 batterWalks	Sep 26 · projected 0.4	0.4	77.5%	76.5%	won(0)
Over 0.5 totalBases	Jul 31 · projected 1.5	1.5	69.1%	66.7%	won(2)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Jul 29 · projected 0.9	0.9	71.0%	68.8%	won(1)
Under 1.5 mlbHits	Jun 28 · projected 0.9	0.9	77.1%	70.6%	won(0)
Under 1.5 mlbHits	Jun 17 · projected 1.1	1.1	70.2%	67.7%	won(1)
Under 1.5 mlbHits	Jun 7 · projected 0.9	0.9	77.8%	73.3%	won(1)
Under 1.5 mlbHits	Jun 5 · projected 0.9	0.9	77.9%	68.8%	lost(2)
Under 1.5 mlbHits	May 22 · projected 0.9	0.9	76.5%	68.8%	pending
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 16 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.3%	59.2%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 16 · projected 0.8	0.8	80.9%	73.3%	won(1)
Under 6.5 hitsRunsRbis	May 14 · projected 1.8	1.8	99.9%	99.5%	won(0)
Under 1.5 mlbHits	May 14 · projected 0.8	0.8	90.1%	78.9%	won(0)
Under 2.5 rbis	May 14 · projected 0.6	0.6	99.3%	99.0%	won(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 14 · projected 0.6	0.6	97.2%	78.9%	won(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 13 · projected 0.6	0.6	97.2%	59.2%	lost(2)
Under 1.5 mlbHits	May 13 · projected 0.8	0.8	90.1%	73.3%	lost(2)
Under 1.5 mlbHits	May 12 · projected 0.8	0.8	90.1%	72.2%	won(1)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 8 · projected 0.6	0.6	97.1%	64.3%	lost(2)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 7 · projected 0.6	0.6	97.1%	66.7%	lost(4)

Over 0.5 mlbHits
Sep 26 · projected 1.0
won(1)
Model
65.8%
Book
65.5%
Under 0.5 batterWalks
Sep 26 · projected 0.4
won(0)
Model
77.5%
Book
76.5%
Over 0.5 totalBases
Jul 31 · projected 1.5
won(2)
Model
69.1%
Book
66.7%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Jul 29 · projected 0.9
won(1)
Model
71.0%
Book
68.8%
Under 1.5 mlbHits
Jun 28 · projected 0.9
won(0)
Model
77.1%
Book
70.6%
Under 1.5 mlbHits
Jun 17 · projected 1.1
won(1)
Model
70.2%
Book
67.7%
Under 1.5 mlbHits
Jun 7 · projected 0.9
won(1)
Model
77.8%
Book
73.3%
Under 1.5 mlbHits
Jun 5 · projected 0.9
lost(2)
Model
77.9%
Book
68.8%
Under 1.5 mlbHits
May 22 · projected 0.9
pending
Model
76.5%
Book
68.8%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 16 · projected 0.6
won(1)
Model
98.3%
Book
59.2%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 16 · projected 0.8
won(1)
Model
80.9%
Book
73.3%
Under 6.5 hitsRunsRbis
May 14 · projected 1.8
won(0)
Model
99.9%
Book
99.5%
Under 1.5 mlbHits
May 14 · projected 0.8
won(0)
Model
90.1%
Book
78.9%
Under 2.5 rbis
May 14 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
99.3%
Book
99.0%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 14 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
97.2%
Book
78.9%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 13 · projected 0.6
lost(2)
Model
97.2%
Book
59.2%
Under 1.5 mlbHits
May 13 · projected 0.8
lost(2)
Model
90.1%
Book
73.3%
Under 1.5 mlbHits
May 12 · projected 0.8
won(1)
Model
90.1%
Book
72.2%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 8 · projected 0.6
lost(2)
Model
97.1%
Book
64.3%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 7 · projected 0.6
lost(4)
Model
97.1%
Book
66.7%

Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.

Frequently asked questions

How has the model done on Alec Burleson's props?

Across the last 19 graded model lines on Alec Burleson, 14 won and 5 lost.

Every Alec Burleson line, priced

Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).