EdgeGoat
Alejandro Kirk
Toronto Blue Jays · #30 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 77.8% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 28 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 82.7% | 63.6% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 15 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 79.1% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 31 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 70.8% | 69.7% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 21 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.3% | 60.8% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 19 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 66.7% | 63.6% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 74.5% | 64.9% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 90.2% | 65.5% | lost(1) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 77.8%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 28 · projected 0.3void(0)
- Model
- 82.7%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 15 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 79.1%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 31 · projected 1.6void(0)
- Model
- 70.8%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 21 · projected 1.0pending
- Model
- 64.3%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 19 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 66.7%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredJul 6 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 74.5%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 90.2%
- Book
- 65.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Alejandro Kirk's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Alejandro Kirk, 3 won and 2 lost.
Every Alejandro Kirk line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).