EdgeGoat
Alek Thomas
Los Angeles Dodgers · #9 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 1 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 58.2% | 57.4% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 75.0% | void(0) |
| Under 3.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 99.9% | 98.4% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | May 7 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 99.9% | 98.9% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 runsScored | May 7 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 97.8% | 92.9% | won(0) |
| Under 6.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 7 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 99.9% | 99.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 70.6% | won(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 1 · projected 0.9void(0)
- Model
- 58.2%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 3.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 98.4%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsMay 7 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 98.9%
- Under 1.5 runsScoredMay 7 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 97.8%
- Book
- 92.9%
- Under 6.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 7 · projected 1.5won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 99.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 70.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Alek Thomas's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Alek Thomas, 5 won and 0 lost.
Every Alek Thomas line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).