EdgeGoat
Alex Bregman
Chicago Cubs · #3 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 63.2% | 37.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 25 · projected 2.6 | 2.6 | 64.2% | 41.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 25 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 50.3% | 38.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 20 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 75.0% | 56.5% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 28 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 68.3% | 59.2% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 74.2% | 60.0% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 26 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 67.8% | 66.1% | void(0) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 18 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 82.1% | 61.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 18 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 87.0% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 54.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 62.3% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 76.5% | 70.6% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 76.5% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 64.9% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 63.0% | lost(4) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 12 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 76.5% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 8 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 60.0% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 8 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 77.3% | 70.6% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 7 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 77.5% | 68.8% | pending |
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 63.2%
- Book
- 37.0%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 25 · projected 2.6lost(0)
- Model
- 64.2%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 25 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 50.3%
- Book
- 38.5%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 20 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 75.0%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 28 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 68.3%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 74.2%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 26 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 67.8%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 18 · projected 1.5won(0)
- Model
- 82.1%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 18 · projected 0.8won(0)
- Model
- 87.0%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 76.5%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 76.5%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 12 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 76.5%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 8 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 8 · projected 0.8pending
- Model
- 77.3%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 7 · projected 0.8pending
- Model
- 77.5%
- Book
- 68.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Alex Bregman's props?
Across the last 16 graded model lines on Alex Bregman, 8 won and 8 lost.
Every Alex Bregman line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).