EdgeGoat
Alex Freeland
Los Angeles Dodgers · #76 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 3 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.6% | 61.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jun 2 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 72.0% | 64.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 2 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.1% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.1% | 58.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.6% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 81.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | May 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 62.3% | lost(1) |
| Under 4.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 98.1% | 96.2% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 5 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 95.7% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 90.9% | 90.9% | won(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 3 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 61.6%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisJun 2 · projected 1.5won(1)
- Model
- 72.0%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 2 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 60.1%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 60.1%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 61.6%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksMay 5 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 4.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.5won(0)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 96.2%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 5 · projected 0.0won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 95.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 0.8won(0)
- Model
- 90.9%
- Book
- 90.9%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Alex Freeland's props?
Across the last 11 graded model lines on Alex Freeland, 9 won and 2 lost.
Every Alex Freeland line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).