EdgeGoat
Andrew Alvarez
Washington Nationals · #54 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 inningsPitched | Sep 25 · projected 13.5 | 13.5 | 99.4% | 45.5% | won(14) |
| Under 14.5 inningsPitched | Aug 20 · projected 13.1 | 13.1 | 66.8% | 45.5% | lost(15) |
| Under 14.5 inningsPitched | Jun 26 · projected 12.2 | 12.2 | 75.2% | 56.5% | won(13) |
- Under 14.5 inningsPitchedSep 25 · projected 13.5won(14)
- Model
- 99.4%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Under 14.5 inningsPitchedAug 20 · projected 13.1lost(15)
- Model
- 66.8%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Under 14.5 inningsPitchedJun 26 · projected 12.2won(13)
- Model
- 75.2%
- Book
- 56.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Andrew Alvarez's props?
Across the last 3 graded model lines on Andrew Alvarez, 2 won and 1 lost.
Every Andrew Alvarez line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).