EdgeGoat
Andrew Alvarez
Washington Nationals · #54 · 30 games logged
IP · last 204.6
K · last 204.9
HA · last 204
ER · last 201.8
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | IP | K | HA | ER | BBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | vs NYM | 4.2 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| Sep 19 | @ STL | 6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 12 | vs LAA | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Sep 6 | @ LAD | 4.1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Aug 30 | vs MIA | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Aug 25 | vs COL | 4.2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Aug 20 | @ TEX | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Aug 14 | @ NYM | 5.2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Aug 8 | vs CIN | 5.1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Aug 3 | @ PHI | 6.1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Jul 27 | vs TOR | 4.1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Jul 20 | @ COL | 4.1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Jul 12 | vs NYY | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Jul 7 | vs HOU | 5.2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Jul 1 | @ BOS | 4.2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Jun 26 | @ BAL | 4.1 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| Jun 21 | @ TB | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| Jun 15 | vs KC | 4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Jun 9 | @ SF | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| Jun 3 | vs MIA | 4.2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 Innings Pitched | Sep 25 · projected 13.5 | 13.5 | 99.4% | 45.5% |
- Under 14.5 Innings PitchedSep 25 · projected 13.5
- Model
- 99.4%
- Book
- 45.5%
Frequently asked questions
What is Andrew Alvarez averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Andrew Alvarez is averaging 4.6 ip, 4.9 k, 4 ha, 1.8 er.
How did Andrew Alvarez play in the last game?
On Friday, September 25, 2026 vs NYM, Andrew Alvarez recorded 4.2 ip, 7 k, 7 ha, 5 er.
Every Andrew Alvarez line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).