EdgeGoat
Austin Hays
San Diego Padres · #15 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.4% | 81.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 29 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 66.6% | 55.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 62.4% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 89.5% | 83.3% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 28 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 68.5% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 28 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 81.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 15 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 72.3% | 64.3% | lost(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 88.4%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 29 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 66.6%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 62.4%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 89.5%
- Book
- 83.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 28 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 68.5%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 28 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 15 · projected 1.3lost(0)
- Model
- 72.3%
- Book
- 64.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Austin Hays's props?
Across the last 7 graded model lines on Austin Hays, 3 won and 4 lost.
Every Austin Hays line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).