EdgeGoat
Austin Wells
New York Yankees · #28 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.9% | 78.9% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 22 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 54.3% | 48.8% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 6 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 53.6% | 52.4% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 20 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 78.7% | 71.4% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 20 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 53.6% | 50.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 16 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 52.9% | 45.5% | pending |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 15 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 74.2% | 69.7% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 11 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 53.0% | 52.4% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jul 9 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 54.9% | 54.5% | won(3) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 9 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 54.0% | 47.6% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 80.6% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 27 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 81.3% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 78.9% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 15 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 78.9% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.9% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.9% | 76.5% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.9%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 22 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 54.3%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 6 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 53.6%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 20 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 78.7%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 20 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 53.6%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 16 · projected 0.7pending
- Model
- 52.9%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 15 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 74.2%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 11 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 53.0%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisJul 9 · projected 1.5won(3)
- Model
- 54.9%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 9 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 54.0%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredJul 6 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 80.6%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 27 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 81.3%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 15 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 76.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Austin Wells's props?
Across the last 14 graded model lines on Austin Wells, 11 won and 3 lost.
Every Austin Wells line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).