EdgeGoat
Ben Williamson
Tampa Bay Rays · #15 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 84.6% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 80.6% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 28 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 65.3% | 64.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 69.7% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 99.5% | won(0) |
| Under 3.5 rbis | May 5 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 99.8% | 81.0% | won(2) |
| Under 3.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 85.1% | 76.5% | won(3) |
| Under 2.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 97.5% | 81.0% | won(2) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 84.6%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 25 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 80.6%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 28 · projected 1.4won(1)
- Model
- 65.3%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.0won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 99.5%
- Under 3.5 rbisMay 5 · projected 0.4won(1)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Under 2.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(2)
- Model
- 99.8%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Under 3.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.8won(3)
- Model
- 85.1%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 2.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 0.8won(2)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 81.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Ben Williamson's props?
Across the last 9 graded model lines on Ben Williamson, 8 won and 1 lost.
Every Ben Williamson line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).