Brandon Marsh

Philadelphia Phillies · #16 · 0 games logged

Projection vs line history

Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.

Projection vs line history
Line	Date	Projection	Model	Book	Result
Under 0.5 batterWalks	Sep 27 · projected 0.2	0.2	88.2%	83.3%	won(0)
Under 0.5 batterWalks	Sep 25 · projected 0.3	0.3	81.1%	76.5%	won(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Sep 22 · projected 1.3	1.3	65.6%	56.5%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Sep 12 · projected 1.3	1.3	65.2%	58.3%	lost(0)
Under 0.5 batterWalks	Aug 24 · projected 0.2	0.2	97.5%	78.9%	won(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Aug 24 · projected 0.9	0.9	65.3%	57.4%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Aug 16 · projected 1.3	1.3	65.1%	62.3%	pending
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Jul 24 · projected 1.2	1.2	65.4%	63.0%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 totalBases	Jul 19 · projected 1.9	1.9	73.2%	67.7%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Jul 19 · projected 1.2	1.2	65.4%	63.0%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Jun 12 · projected 1.3	1.3	71.4%	57.4%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Jun 2 · projected 1.2	1.2	70.8%	66.7%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 31 · projected 0.9	0.9	65.6%	62.3%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 29 · projected 0.9	0.9	65.6%	60.8%	won(1)
Over 1.5 totalBases	May 27 · projected 2.1	2.1	89.1%	40.8%	void(0)
Over 1.5 totalBases	May 26 · projected 2.1	2.1	89.1%	39.2%	won(2)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 16 · projected 0.9	0.9	72.4%	66.7%	won(1)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 16 · projected 0.6	0.6	96.0%	66.7%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 14 · projected 0.9	0.9	72.7%	66.7%	won(1)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 14 · projected 0.6	0.6	96.0%	65.5%	won(1)

Under 0.5 batterWalks
Sep 27 · projected 0.2
won(0)
Model
88.2%
Book
83.3%
Under 0.5 batterWalks
Sep 25 · projected 0.3
won(0)
Model
81.1%
Book
76.5%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Sep 22 · projected 1.3
won(1)
Model
65.6%
Book
56.5%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Sep 12 · projected 1.3
lost(0)
Model
65.2%
Book
58.3%
Under 0.5 batterWalks
Aug 24 · projected 0.2
won(0)
Model
97.5%
Book
78.9%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Aug 24 · projected 0.9
lost(0)
Model
65.3%
Book
57.4%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Aug 16 · projected 1.3
pending
Model
65.1%
Book
62.3%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Jul 24 · projected 1.2
lost(0)
Model
65.4%
Book
63.0%
Over 0.5 totalBases
Jul 19 · projected 1.9
won(1)
Model
73.2%
Book
67.7%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Jul 19 · projected 1.2
won(1)
Model
65.4%
Book
63.0%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Jun 12 · projected 1.3
lost(0)
Model
71.4%
Book
57.4%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Jun 2 · projected 1.2
won(1)
Model
70.8%
Book
66.7%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 31 · projected 0.9
lost(0)
Model
65.6%
Book
62.3%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 29 · projected 0.9
won(1)
Model
65.6%
Book
60.8%
Over 1.5 totalBases
May 27 · projected 2.1
void(0)
Model
89.1%
Book
40.8%
Over 1.5 totalBases
May 26 · projected 2.1
won(2)
Model
89.1%
Book
39.2%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 16 · projected 0.9
won(1)
Model
72.4%
Book
66.7%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 16 · projected 0.6
won(1)
Model
96.0%
Book
66.7%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 14 · projected 0.9
won(1)
Model
72.7%
Book
66.7%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 14 · projected 0.6
won(1)
Model
96.0%
Book
65.5%

Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.

Frequently asked questions

How has the model done on Brandon Marsh's props?

Across the last 18 graded model lines on Brandon Marsh, 13 won and 5 lost.

Every Brandon Marsh line, priced

Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).