EdgeGoat
Brandon Valenzuela
Toronto Blue Jays · #59 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 12 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 63.3% | 60.0% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 2 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 63.6% | 56.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 63.7% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 63.7% | 61.5% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 15 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 76.5% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.8% | 78.9% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 99.5% | 98.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 72.6% | 23.5% | lost(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 12 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 63.3%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 2 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 63.6%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 63.7%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 63.7%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 15 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.8%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 2.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 99.5%
- Book
- 98.8%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.3lost(0)
- Model
- 72.6%
- Book
- 23.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Brandon Valenzuela's props?
Across the last 8 graded model lines on Brandon Valenzuela, 5 won and 3 lost.
Every Brandon Valenzuela line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).