EdgeGoat
Braxton Ashcraft
Pittsburgh Pirates · #35 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6.5 pitcherStrikeouts | Jul 10 · projected 5.1 | 5.1 | 74.8% | 56.5% | void(0) |
| Under 17.5 inningsPitched | Jun 29 · projected 16.6 | 16.6 | 60.0% | 47.6% | lost(18) |
| Under 5.5 hitsAllowed | Jun 29 · projected 4.8 | 4.8 | 65.1% | 57.4% | won(5) |
| Under 5.5 pitcherStrikeouts | Jun 17 · projected 4.9 | 4.9 | 63.8% | 51.2% | lost(6) |
| Over 4.5 pitcherStrikeouts | May 21 · projected 5.8 | 5.8 | 68.8% | 64.9% | won(5) |
| Under 17.5 inningsPitched | May 16 · projected 5.5 | 5.5 | 99.9% | 51.2% | void(0) |
| Under 17.5 inningsPitched | May 15 · projected 5.5 | 5.5 | 99.9% | 48.8% | lost(18) |
- Under 6.5 pitcherStrikeoutsJul 10 · projected 5.1void(0)
- Model
- 74.8%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 17.5 inningsPitchedJun 29 · projected 16.6lost(18)
- Model
- 60.0%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Under 5.5 hitsAllowedJun 29 · projected 4.8won(5)
- Model
- 65.1%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 5.5 pitcherStrikeoutsJun 17 · projected 4.9lost(6)
- Model
- 63.8%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 4.5 pitcherStrikeoutsMay 21 · projected 5.8won(5)
- Model
- 68.8%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 17.5 inningsPitchedMay 16 · projected 5.5void(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 17.5 inningsPitchedMay 15 · projected 5.5lost(18)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 48.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Braxton Ashcraft's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Braxton Ashcraft, 2 won and 3 lost.
Every Braxton Ashcraft line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).