EdgeGoat
Brendan Donovan
Seattle Mariners · #33 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 6 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 68.8% | 64.3% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 79.8% | 69.7% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 64.9% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 15 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 79.8% | 69.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 60.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 81.6% | 72.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 12 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 82.5% | 73.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 60.8% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 6 · projected 1.1void(0)
- Model
- 68.8%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 79.8%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 15 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 79.8%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 81.6%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 12 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 82.5%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 60.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Brendan Donovan's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Brendan Donovan, 4 won and 1 lost.
Every Brendan Donovan line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).