EdgeGoat
Brett Baty
New York Mets · #7 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 26 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.8% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 79.8% | 68.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 29 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 68.7% | 55.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 22 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 68.0% | 57.4% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 75.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jul 6 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 62.3% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 6 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 69.4% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 6 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 68.7% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 68.7% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | Jun 2 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 98.6% | 94.1% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 1 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 68.7% | 56.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jun 1 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 61.9% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 25 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 83.4% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 75.0% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 15 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 75.0% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 76.5% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 10 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 95.9% | 68.8% | pending |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 95.9% | 64.9% | lost(2) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 7 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 83.8% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 7 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 63.2% | 56.5% | won(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 26 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 67.8%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 79.8%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 29 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 68.7%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 22 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 68.0%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisJul 6 · projected 1.6won(1)
- Model
- 62.3%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 6 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 69.4%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 6 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 68.7%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 68.7%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsJun 2 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 98.6%
- Book
- 94.1%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 1 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 68.7%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisJun 1 · projected 1.6lost(0)
- Model
- 61.9%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 25 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 83.4%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 15 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 10 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 95.9%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 95.9%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 7 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 83.8%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 7 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 63.2%
- Book
- 56.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Brett Baty's props?
Across the last 19 graded model lines on Brett Baty, 14 won and 5 lost.
Every Brett Baty line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).