EdgeGoat
Brian Serven
Athletics · #10 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.6% | 81.0% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 62.3% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 81.8% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 20 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 83.3% | 69.7% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 88.6%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 20 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 62.3%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 20 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 83.3%
- Book
- 69.7%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Brian Serven's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on Brian Serven, 3 won and 1 lost.
Every Brian Serven line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).