EdgeGoat
Brice Matthews
Houston Astros · #0 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 18 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 61.2% | 55.6% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.9% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.9% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 10 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 8 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 71.4% | lost(3) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 77.8% | lost(4) |
| Under 2.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 5 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 85.7% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 74.7% | 63.6% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 97.6% | 92.9% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.7% | 73.3% | won(0) |
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 18 · projected 1.2lost(2)
- Model
- 61.2%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 10 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 8 · projected 0.6lost(3)
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 2.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 5 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 85.7%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.2lost(0)
- Model
- 74.7%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 5 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 97.6%
- Book
- 92.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 5 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.7%
- Book
- 73.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Brice Matthews's props?
Across the last 13 graded model lines on Brice Matthews, 9 won and 4 lost.
Every Brice Matthews line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).