EdgeGoat
Bryan Reynolds
Pittsburgh Pirates · #10 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 20 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 66.9% | 35.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 15 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.5% | 59.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 65.4% | 41.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 64.8% | 41.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 3 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 61.3% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jun 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 82.0% | 65.5% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jun 19 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 76.1% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 78.0% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 66.1% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 58.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | May 7 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 99.9% | 99.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 7 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 69.8% | 26.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 7 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 80.0% | 30.8% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 batterWalks | May 7 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 97.5% | 93.3% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 7 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 95.7% | won(0) |
| Under 3.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 99.9% | 98.9% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 runsScored | May 7 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 99.5% | 99.0% | won(1) |
| Under 4.5 rbis | May 7 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 63.0% | lost(2) |
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 20 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 66.9%
- Book
- 35.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 15 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 60.5%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 65.4%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 64.8%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 3 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 61.3%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJun 20 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 82.0%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisJun 19 · projected 1.7won(1)
- Model
- 76.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 78.0%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsMay 7 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 99.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 7 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 69.8%
- Book
- 26.7%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 7 · projected 1.6won(1)
- Model
- 80.0%
- Book
- 30.8%
- Under 1.5 batterWalksMay 7 · projected 0.5won(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 93.3%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 7 · projected 0.0won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 95.7%
- Under 3.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 98.9%
- Under 1.5 runsScoredMay 7 · projected 0.5won(1)
- Model
- 99.5%
- Book
- 99.0%
- Under 4.5 rbisMay 7 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 63.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Bryan Reynolds's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Bryan Reynolds, 16 won and 4 lost.
Every Bryan Reynolds line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).