EdgeGoat
Bryce Harper
Philadelphia Phillies · #3 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 85.1% | 75.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 75.0% | 67.7% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 68.4% | 46.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 24 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.5% | 66.1% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 22 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.2% | 64.9% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 12 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.0% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 4 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 66.5% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 28 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 87.4% | 53.5% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 84.4% | 64.3% | won(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 16 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 61.4% | 47.6% | pending |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 15 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 61.3% | 44.4% | won(2) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 12 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 61.4% | 46.5% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 24 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 73.0% | 66.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 24 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 66.0% | 65.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 19 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 73.0% | 68.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 12 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 66.0% | 56.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 27 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 52.3% | 46.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 26 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 52.3% | 46.5% | won(4) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 26 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 77.2% | 73.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 59.2% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 85.1%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 75.0%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 68.4%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 24 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 67.5%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 22 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 67.2%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 12 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 67.0%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 4 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 66.5%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 28 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 87.4%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 84.4%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 16 · projected 2.0pending
- Model
- 61.4%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 15 · projected 2.0won(2)
- Model
- 61.3%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 12 · projected 2.0won(2)
- Model
- 61.4%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 24 · projected 2.0lost(0)
- Model
- 73.0%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 24 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 66.0%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 19 · projected 2.0lost(0)
- Model
- 73.0%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 12 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 66.0%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 27 · projected 2.2lost(0)
- Model
- 52.3%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 26 · projected 2.2won(4)
- Model
- 52.3%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 26 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 77.2%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 59.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Bryce Harper's props?
Across the last 19 graded model lines on Bryce Harper, 12 won and 7 lost.
Every Bryce Harper line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).