EdgeGoat
Bryson Stott
Philadelphia Phillies · #5 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.8% | 80.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.0% | 77.8% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 64.2% | 63.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 24 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.8% | 63.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 22 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.8% | 63.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 15 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 71.2% | 66.1% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 12 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 66.5% | 64.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 4 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.1% | 56.5% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 94.3% | 75.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 24 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.4% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 19 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 69.5% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 12 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.8% | 55.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 2 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.1% | 63.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 71.8% | 63.0% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 31 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 74.0% | 69.7% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 29 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 73.7% | 68.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 71.9% | 66.7% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 64.9% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.8%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 86.0%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 64.2%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 24 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 64.8%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 22 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 64.8%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 15 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 71.2%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 12 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 66.5%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 4 · projected 1.1void(0)
- Model
- 65.1%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 94.3%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 24 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 64.4%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 19 · projected 1.5won(1)
- Model
- 69.5%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 12 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 64.8%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 2 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 64.1%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 71.8%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 31 · projected 1.1lost(4)
- Model
- 74.0%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 29 · projected 1.1won(0)
- Model
- 73.7%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 71.9%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 64.9%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Bryson Stott's props?
Across the last 19 graded model lines on Bryson Stott, 10 won and 9 lost.
Every Bryson Stott line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).