EdgeGoat
Caleb Durbin
Boston Red Sox · #5 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.0% | 81.8% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.4% | 81.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 61.3% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 15 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 82.4% | 71.4% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 79.6% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jun 30 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 82.9% | 63.0% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 75.0% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 72.2% | lost(2) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 88.0%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.4%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 61.3%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 15 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 82.4%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 79.6%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJun 30 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 82.9%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 72.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Caleb Durbin's props?
Across the last 7 graded model lines on Caleb Durbin, 5 won and 2 lost.
Every Caleb Durbin line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).