EdgeGoat
Cam Smith
Houston Astros · #11 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cam Smith | Under 0.5 Batter BBCHW @ HOU | 75.2% | 75.0%−300 | +0.2% |
- Model
- 75.2%
- Book
- 75.0%−300
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.6% | 69.2% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 27 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 57.8% | 57.4% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 85.4% | 71.4% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 88.7% | 69.7% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 29 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 62.5% | 55.6% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 26 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.4% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Aug 20 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 79.5% | 77.8% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 62.9% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 62.4% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 28 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 71.6% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 27 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 71.5% | 54.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 26 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 71.4% | 58.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 62.9% | 57.4% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 75.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 70.6% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 10 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 70.6% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 67.7% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.9% | 75.0% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 27 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 86.6%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 27 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 57.8%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 26 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 85.4%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 25 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 88.7%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 29 · projected 1.0void(0)
- Model
- 62.5%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 26 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 63.4%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBAug 20 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBJul 6 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 79.5%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 62.9%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 62.4%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 28 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 71.6%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 27 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 71.5%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 26 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 71.4%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 62.9%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 10 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 2.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Cam Smith today?
The strongest current line: Cam Smith under 0.5 batter bb (−300): model 75.2% vs book 75.0%, an edge of +0.2%.
How has the model done on Cam Smith's props?
Across the last 19 graded model lines on Cam Smith, 10 won and 9 lost.
Every Cam Smith line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).