Carlos Narvaez

Baltimore Orioles · #75 · 0 games logged

Projection vs line history

Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.

Projection vs line history
Line	Date	Projection	Model	Book	Result
Under 0.5 batterWalks	Sep 27 · projected 0.2	0.2	87.7%	77.8%	pending
Under 0.5 batterWalks	Sep 25 · projected 0.2	0.2	97.5%	82.6%	lost(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Sep 19 · projected 0.9	0.9	67.5%	53.5%	void(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Sep 6 · projected 0.8	0.8	70.6%	45.5%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Aug 14 · projected 0.9	0.9	66.4%	50.0%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 totalBases	Jul 31 · projected 1.2	1.2	60.6%	55.6%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Jul 31 · projected 0.8	0.8	69.7%	53.5%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Jul 11 · projected 1.0	1.0	65.8%	59.2%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Jun 5 · projected 1.0	1.0	65.7%	56.5%	void(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 29 · projected 1.1	1.1	63.6%	56.5%	void(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 14 · projected 0.8	0.8	80.7%	58.3%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 13 · projected 0.8	0.8	80.7%	56.5%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 12 · projected 0.8	0.8	80.7%	56.5%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 9 · projected 0.8	0.8	71.5%	57.4%	pending
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 8 · projected 0.8	0.8	71.8%	58.3%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 7 · projected 0.8	0.8	71.8%	58.3%	void(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 5 · projected 0.8	0.8	56.4%	40.8%	void(0)
Under 0.5 homeRuns	May 5 · projected 0.1	0.1	99.6%	98.6%	void(0)
Under 4.5 hitsRunsRbis	May 5 · projected 1.4	1.4	99.8%	99.0%	void(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 5 · projected 0.6	0.6	97.1%	88.9%	void(0)

Under 0.5 batterWalks
Sep 27 · projected 0.2
pending
Model
87.7%
Book
77.8%
Under 0.5 batterWalks
Sep 25 · projected 0.2
lost(1)
Model
97.5%
Book
82.6%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Sep 19 · projected 0.9
void(0)
Model
67.5%
Book
53.5%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Sep 6 · projected 0.8
lost(0)
Model
70.6%
Book
45.5%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Aug 14 · projected 0.9
lost(0)
Model
66.4%
Book
50.0%
Over 0.5 totalBases
Jul 31 · projected 1.2
lost(0)
Model
60.6%
Book
55.6%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Jul 31 · projected 0.8
lost(0)
Model
69.7%
Book
53.5%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Jul 11 · projected 1.0
lost(0)
Model
65.8%
Book
59.2%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Jun 5 · projected 1.0
void(0)
Model
65.7%
Book
56.5%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 29 · projected 1.1
void(0)
Model
63.6%
Book
56.5%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 14 · projected 0.8
won(1)
Model
80.7%
Book
58.3%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 13 · projected 0.8
lost(0)
Model
80.7%
Book
56.5%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 12 · projected 0.8
won(1)
Model
80.7%
Book
56.5%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 9 · projected 0.8
pending
Model
71.5%
Book
57.4%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 8 · projected 0.8
lost(0)
Model
71.8%
Book
58.3%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 7 · projected 0.8
void(0)
Model
71.8%
Book
58.3%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 5 · projected 0.8
void(0)
Model
56.4%
Book
40.8%
Under 0.5 homeRuns
May 5 · projected 0.1
void(0)
Model
99.6%
Book
98.6%
Under 4.5 hitsRunsRbis
May 5 · projected 1.4
void(0)
Model
99.8%
Book
99.0%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 5 · projected 0.6
void(0)
Model
97.1%
Book
88.9%

Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.

Frequently asked questions

How has the model done on Carlos Narvaez's props?

Across the last 10 graded model lines on Carlos Narvaez, 2 won and 8 lost.

Every Carlos Narvaez line, priced

Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).